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DO PRIVATIZATION IPOS OUTPERFORM IN THE LONG-RUN?

  • Seung-Doo Choi Dongeui University, Korea
  • Inmoo Lee National University of Singapore
  • William Megginson University of Oklahoma Global Privatization Advisory Committee, Italian Ministry of Economics and Finance
This paper investigates the long-run stock returns of privatization initial public offering (IPO) firms using a sample of 241 privatization IPOs from 42 countries during the period 1981-2003. We compare one-, three-, and five-year holding period returns of privatization IPOs to those of the domestic stock market indices and to those of size and size-and-book-to-market equity ratio (BM)-matched firms of respective countries. Consistent with previous studies, privatization IPOs have significantly outperformed their domestic stock markets in the long-run. However, they show less consistent abnormal long-term stock performance relative to their size- or size-and-BM-matched benchmark firms. These results confirm the problems inherent in estimating long-run abnormal returns and suggest that previous results on the long-run stock performance of privatization IPOs should be interpreted with caution. Additionally, the market values privatization IPOs without much systematic bias after the IPO, in contrast to private companies¡¯ IPOs. This is consistent with privatization IPOs having less information asymmetry than private IPOs.

  • Seung-Doo Choi
  • Inmoo Lee
  • William Megginson
This paper investigates the long-run stock returns of privatization initial public offering (IPO) firms using a sample of 241 privatization IPOs from 42 countries during the period 1981-2003. We compare one-, three-, and five-year holding period returns of privatization IPOs to those of the domestic stock market indices and to those of size and size-and-book-to-market equity ratio (BM)-matched firms of respective countries. Consistent with previous studies, privatization IPOs have significantly outperformed their domestic stock markets in the long-run. However, they show less consistent abnormal long-term stock performance relative to their size- or size-and-BM-matched benchmark firms. These results confirm the problems inherent in estimating long-run abnormal returns and suggest that previous results on the long-run stock performance of privatization IPOs should be interpreted with caution. Additionally, the market values privatization IPOs without much systematic bias after the IPO, in contrast to private companies¡¯ IPOs. This is consistent with privatization IPOs having less information asymmetry than private IPOs.