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Asian Review of Financial Research, Vol., No..
pp.344~344
pp.344~344
A Structural Model with Jump Risks under Regime-Switching Market Environment
Bong-Gyu Jang Industrial and Management Engineering, POSTECH, Pohang, Republic of Korea.
Yuna Rhee Industrial and Management Engineering, POSTECH, Pohang, Republic of Korea.
Ji Hee Yoon Economics, University of Wisconsin - Madison, WI, USA.
We develop a structural model incorporated with both macroeconomic risks and jump risks. We provide the analytic formulas for the default probability, the equity price and the CDS spreads and show that combination between the two assists better explanation for credit risks in the real world. Based on the actually calibrated parameters of individual firms, we find that there is an evidence for existence of fundamental macro factors and that the default probability can be dependent on the current economic state. Moreover, our model could better predict the default probability and overcome the underestimation of credit risks especially for the high credit rated firms, which has always been one of the major limitations for the structural models.
Bong-Gyu Jang
Yuna Rhee
Ji Hee Yoon
We develop a structural model incorporated with both macroeconomic risks and jump risks. We provide the analytic formulas for the default probability, the equity price and the CDS spreads and show that combination between the two assists better explanation for credit risks in the real world. Based on the actually calibrated parameters of individual firms, we find that there is an evidence for existence of fundamental macro factors and that the default probability can be dependent on the current economic state. Moreover, our model could better predict the default probability and overcome the underestimation of credit risks especially for the high credit rated firms, which has always been one of the major limitations for the structural models.
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