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Exchange Rate Risk and International Investment with Regime Switching Mixed Copula

  • Kyuwon Choi Seoul National University
  • Hyungsik Oh Seoul National University
Benefits of international diversification heavily rely on the degree of dependence across securities. In this paper, we extend the results of Garcia and Tsafack (2007) regime switching mixed copula model to include Asian countries and explain the effect of exchange rate risk on the asymmetric dependence. Bootstrapped likelihood ratio tests show that asymmetric dependence of international market appears mostly insignificant when there is no exchange rate risk, while it appears significant with the presence of exchange rate risk. We suggest unwinding of foreign investment as one possible reason for these results.

  • Kyuwon Choi
  • Hyungsik Oh
Benefits of international diversification heavily rely on the degree of dependence across securities. In this paper, we extend the results of Garcia and Tsafack (2007) regime switching mixed copula model to include Asian countries and explain the effect of exchange rate risk on the asymmetric dependence. Bootstrapped likelihood ratio tests show that asymmetric dependence of international market appears mostly insignificant when there is no exchange rate risk, while it appears significant with the presence of exchange rate risk. We suggest unwinding of foreign investment as one possible reason for these results.
Exchange rate risk,Copula,International Investment,Regime Switching,Mixed Copula