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Asian Review of Financial Research, Vol., No..
pp.242~276
pp.242~276
A Systematic Diagnosis of Systemic Risk
Myeong Hyeon Kim Korea University Business School
Baeho Kim Korea University Business School, Korea University Business School
This paper proposes a holistic and comprehensive approach to accurately measure and detect systemic risk. A counter-cyclical structure of regulatory policy has been widely proposed as a countermeasure of the pro-cyclicality of the risk charge. Accordingly, extant regulatory approaches highlight the need for leading variables as a harbinger of a systemic crisis based on the market prices rather than lagging ones. Our empirical study based on a Markov regime-switching model conrms that both leading and lagging systemic variables are helpful in a complementary manner. The proposed diagnostic framework clearly demonstrates the dierent aspects of a series of previous crises.
Myeong Hyeon Kim
Baeho Kim
This paper proposes a holistic and comprehensive approach to accurately measure and detect systemic risk. A counter-cyclical structure of regulatory policy has been widely proposed as a countermeasure of the pro-cyclicality of the risk charge. Accordingly, extant regulatory approaches highlight the need for leading variables as a harbinger of a systemic crisis based on the market prices rather than lagging ones. Our empirical study based on a Markov regime-switching model conrms that both leading and lagging systemic variables are helpful in a complementary manner. The proposed diagnostic framework clearly demonstrates the dierent aspects of a series of previous crises.
Systemic risk,Systemic indicators,Markov regime switching model